SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
52.17% ( 0.02) | 25.47% | 22.36% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.61% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% ( -0.02) | 54.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( -0.01) | 76.13% ( 0.01) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% | 21.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.16% ( 0) | 53.84% ( -0) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.3% ( -0.02) | 39.7% ( 0.02) |
