Both teams will view this as an opportunity to create further distance between themselves and the relegation zone. However, they will also be wary of suffering a defeat which will keep them looking over their shoulders, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
