SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
61.36% ( 0.37) | 22.85% ( -0.12) | 15.79% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.52% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( 0.07) | 53.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( 0.06) | 74.85% ( -0.06) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( 0.16) | 16.96% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.94% ( 0.27) | 47.06% ( -0.27) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.61% ( -0.29) | 46.39% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.98% ( -0.22) | 82.02% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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