Elche's recent home form has been excellent and must be taken into consideration when predicting this match, but we are finding it difficult to back against Barcelona, who are on an impressive run of form. It could be a tight scoreline, but the visitors should shade this contest on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Elche win it was 2-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
