We said: Elche 1-1 Alaves
This is a really big match for both sides, and it should be a tight affair, with the two managers knowing the importance of avoiding defeat. Elche will enter the contest in the better form, but Alaves are certainly capable of securing a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
