Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 76.77%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.38%), while for a Elche win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
