Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
