It is difficult to back Barcelona with any real confidence at the moment, particularly considering their injury problems, and Elche are capable of making this a tricky encounter. We are actually expecting this to be another tight match at Camp Nou but are tipping Xavi's side to navigate their way to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
