SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
67.12% ( -0.02) | 20.7% ( 0.01) | 12.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.81% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( -0.02) | 51.92% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( -0.02) | 73.67% ( 0.02) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.4% ( -0.01) | 14.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.31% ( -0.03) | 42.69% ( 0.03) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.95% ( 0.01) | 51.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.63% ( 0) | 85.37% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-2 @ 2% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.1% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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