Made of sterner stuff on home soil, Roma can hold their Group C rivals to a score draw this week; teeing up an intriguing return fixture in Seville. Both teams offer a distinct threat going forward, but the tactical battle between Mourinho and Pellegrini may well end in a stalemate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.46) 
0.09) 
