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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%).
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Union SG |
44.83% ( -0.03) | 24.83% ( 0.01) | 30.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.42% ( -0.05) | 46.58% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.15% ( -0.04) | 68.85% ( 0.04) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( -0.03) | 20.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( -0.05) | 53.51% ( 0.05) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.01) | 28.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -0.02) | 64.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.83% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.33% |
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