SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Braga |
45.06% ( -0) | 24.68% ( -0.01) | 30.26% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.89% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( 0.03) | 45.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( 0.03) | 68.24% ( -0.03) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 0.01) | 20.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( 0.02) | 52.94% ( -0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( 0.02) | 28.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( 0.03) | 64.23% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.26% |
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