SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Braga |
41.98% ( 0.31) | 25.46% ( 0.12) | 32.55% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.66) | 48.48% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.6) | 70.61% ( 0.6) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.14) | 22.97% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( -0.2) | 56.75% ( 0.19) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.6) | 28.23% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -0.76) | 63.93% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.55% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
