SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
49.68% ( -0.08) | 23.22% ( 0.03) | 27.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.74% ( -0.08) | 41.26% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.35% ( -0.08) | 63.65% ( 0.08) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( -0.06) | 16.78% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.27% ( -0.11) | 46.73% ( 0.1) |
| Rapid Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.99% ( 0) | 64.01% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Rapid Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.21% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 27.1% |
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