SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
48.67% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 50.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% ( -0.02) | 52.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% ( -0.02) | 74.3% ( 0.02) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.01) | 21.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.22% ( -0.02) | 54.77% ( 0.02) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.01) | 35.43% ( 0.01) |
