SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Luton Town |
53.65% ( -0.04) | 26.22% ( 0.02) | 20.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.4% ( -0.02) | 59.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.07% ( -0.02) | 79.93% ( 0.02) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.03) | 22.38% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.11% ( -0.04) | 55.89% ( 0.04) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( 0.01) | 44.79% ( -0.01) |
