SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
24.96% ( -0.01) | 24.95% ( -0.01) | 50.09% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.47% ( 0.03) | 50.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( 0.02) | 72.44% ( -0.02) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.09% ( 0) | 34.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.35% ( 0) | 71.65% ( -0) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.82% ( 0.02) | 20.18% ( -0.02) |
