SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.46% ( -0.13) | 27.18% ( 0.16) | 34.36% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.21% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( -0.62) | 55.19% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.51) | 76.43% ( 0.51) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.37) | 27.89% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.5% ( -0.47) | 63.5% ( 0.47) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( -0.32) | 30.38% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.43% ( -0.38) | 66.57% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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