SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
48.83% ( -0.02) | 26.73% ( 0) | 24.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.36% ( 0) | 57.64% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.59% | 78.4% ( -0) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.01) | 23.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.2% ( -0.01) | 57.8% ( 0.01) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( 0.02) | 39.29% ( -0.02) |
