SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.6% ( 0.15) | 24.83% ( 0.03) | 32.57% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( -0.22) | 45.67% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( -0.2) | 67.99% ( 0.2) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( -0.02) | 21.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.5% ( -0.03) | 54.49% ( 0.03) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.22) | 26.84% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.86% ( -0.29) | 62.14% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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