SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackpool | Draw | Middlesbrough |
33.11% ( 0.16) | 25.2% ( -0.62) | 41.69% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( 2.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.82% ( 2.73) | 47.18% ( -2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.59% ( 2.49) | 69.41% ( -2.49) |
| Blackpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 1.43) | 27.24% ( -1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.33% ( 1.83) | 62.66% ( -1.83) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 1.42) | 22.54% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.87% ( 2.07) | 56.12% ( -2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackpool | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 3% Total : 33.11% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.73)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.67) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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