SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
63.58% ( 0.02) | 21.72% ( -0.02) | 14.7% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% ( 0.07) | 50.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( 0.06) | 72.73% ( -0.07) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0.03) | 15.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.85% ( 0.06) | 44.15% ( -0.06) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0.04) | 46.43% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.95% ( 0.03) | 82.05% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 63.58% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.71% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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