SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
46.33% ( -0.15) | 26.52% ( -0.29) | 27.14% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( 1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( 1.31) | 55.16% ( -1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( 1.07) | 76.41% ( -1.07) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.5) | 23.78% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.07% ( 0.72) | 57.93% ( -0.72) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.41% ( 1.07) | 35.59% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.64% ( 1.09) | 72.36% ( -1.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 2% Total : 27.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
