SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Millwall |
39.27% ( 0.09) | 28.77% ( 0.01) | 31.95% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.6% ( -0.06) | 61.39% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.71% ( -0.05) | 81.29% ( 0.05) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.02) | 30.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.36% ( 0.02) | 66.64% ( -0.03) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.11) | 35.23% ( 0.1) |
