SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Sunderland |
31.07% ( 0) | 27.28% ( -0) | 41.65% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.71% ( 0.01) | 56.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% ( 0.01) | 77.32% ( -0.01) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% ( 0.01) | 33.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.22% ( 0.01) | 69.78% ( -0.01) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0) | 26.63% ( -0) |
