We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City
Blackburn look set for an automatic promotion push this season and supporters will be expecting another three points against Birmingham this weekend.
Birmingham are in good form but expended a lot of energy to earn a point off Burnley, and with the short turnaround from Wednesday night to Saturday, Blues might struggle to match a dangerous Rovers team.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
51.4% ( -0) | 26.32% ( 0) | 22.28% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0) |
| 42.06% | 57.93% ( 0) |
| 21.36% ( -0) | 78.64% ( 0) |
| 77.34% ( -0) | 22.66% ( 0) |
