SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
31.39% ( -1.19) | 26.3% ( 0.01) | 42.3% ( 1.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( -0.41) | 52.38% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.93% ( -0.36) | 74.06% ( 0.35) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -1.02) | 30.94% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.75% ( -1.21) | 67.24% ( 1.2) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0.41) | 24.52% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.01% ( 0.58) | 58.98% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.09)Other @ 3% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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