SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 3-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
66.4% ( -0.04) | 18.05% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.07% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.47% ( 0.03) | 32.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.04) | 54.18% ( -0.04) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.87% | 9.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.03% | 30.96% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( 0.06) | 33.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( 0.07) | 70.57% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.48% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 4.97% Total : 66.4% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.05% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.54% |
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