SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 19.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Preston North End |
59.54% ( -0.17) | 21.12% ( 0.03) | 19.34% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( 0.08) | 40.36% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.26% ( 0.08) | 62.74% ( -0.08) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.78% ( -0.02) | 13.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.04% ( -0.05) | 39.96% ( 0.05) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( 0.19) | 34.47% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.81% ( 0.2) | 71.19% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 59.54% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.12% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.34% |
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