SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Ipswich Town |
20.29% ( -2.61) | 21.72% ( 0.09) | 57.98% ( 2.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -4.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( -3.84) | 41.75% ( 3.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% ( -3.98) | 64.15% ( 3.98) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.68% ( -4.56) | 34.32% ( 4.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( -5.19) | 71.02% ( 5.2) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -0.5) | 14.14% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.2% ( -0.98) | 41.8% ( 0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.51) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.5)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.08% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.61)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.79)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1.4)0-2 @ 9.28% ( 1.23)1-3 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.71)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.47)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.26)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.07% Total : 57.98% |
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