SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Ipswich Town |
32.3% ( 0.31) | 25.14% ( -0.15) | 42.56% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( 0.76) | 47.16% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( 0.7) | 69.39% ( -0.7) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( 0.57) | 27.74% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( 0.73) | 63.31% ( -0.73) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.25) | 22.12% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.5% ( 0.38) | 55.49% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.56% |
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