SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Sunderland |
35.05% ( 0.57) | 27.7% ( -0.04) | 37.26% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% ( 0.21) | 57.13% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% ( 0.17) | 78% ( -0.16) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.1% ( 0.47) | 30.91% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.81% ( 0.55) | 67.2% ( -0.55) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.21) | 29.53% ( 0.21) |
