SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
53.98% ( -0.29) | 23.16% ( 0.09) | 22.85% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.19) | 44.98% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.18) | 67.33% ( 0.18) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.17) | 16.59% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.61% ( -0.31) | 46.38% ( 0.3) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( 0.07) | 33.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( 0.08) | 70.38% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.98% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 22.85% |
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