SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Birmingham City |
42.53% ( 3.68) | 27.09% ( -0.37) | 30.38% ( -3.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.56) | 55.79% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% ( 0.45) | 76.92% ( -0.45) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 2.27) | 25.94% ( -2.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.05% ( 2.97) | 60.95% ( -2.97) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( -2.02) | 33.42% ( 2.02) |
