SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
30.99% ( -0.37) | 24.63% ( -0.14) | 44.38% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.48) | 45.37% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( 0.46) | 67.71% ( -0.46) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.01) | 27.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% ( -0) | 63.26% ( -0) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.42) | 20.54% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( 0.67) | 53.05% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
| 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38% |
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