SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
30.73% ( 0.09) | 23.25% ( 0.06) | 46.01% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.25) | 39.07% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.6% ( -0.26) | 61.39% ( 0.25) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( -0.07) | 24.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( -0.09) | 59.32% ( 0.08) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.16) | 17.33% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.29% ( -0.27) | 47.7% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
