SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
43.32% ( 0.19) | 25.47% ( -0.08) | 31.2% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.31) | 48.99% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( 0.28) | 71.07% ( -0.28) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.22) | 22.54% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0.33) | 56.12% ( -0.33) |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( 0.08) | 29.36% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% ( 0.1) | 65.34% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.32% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.2% |
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