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Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
CB

Aston Villa
vs.
Brugge

Coverage of the Champions League Round of 16 clash between Aston Villa and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Next Game: Brentford vs. Aston Villa
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brugge 1-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Next Game: Cercle Brugge vs. Brugge
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Club Brugge has a probability of 32.36% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Club Brugge win is 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.6%).

Result
Aston VillaDrawClub Brugge
44.18% (0.753 0.75) 23.46% (0.095000000000002 0.1) 32.36% (-0.843 -0.84)
Both teams to score 62.26% (-0.705 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.778 -0.78)39.34% (0.782 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.818 -0.82)61.67% (0.823 0.82)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.83% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)18.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.85% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.15% (0.012 0.01)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)23.92% (0.857 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (-1.237 -1.24)58.13% (1.243 1.24)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.18%
    Club Brugge 32.36%
    Draw 23.46%
Aston VillaDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.101 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.266 0.27)
2-0 @ 6.32% (0.226 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.056 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.53% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.47% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.36%

Form Guide
Last Game: Brugge 1-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-1 Aston Villa
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brugge 1-3 Aston Villa
Tuesday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Brugge
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Standard Liege
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-3 Brugge
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League


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