SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
39.6% ( 0.02) | 24.12% ( 0.01) | 36.28% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% ( -0.03) | 41.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% ( -0.03) | 63.91% ( 0.03) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0) | 21.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0) | 53.92% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( -0.03) | 22.76% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( -0.04) | 56.44% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 11.05% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
