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Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 4, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
AV

Brugge
1 - 3
Aston Villa

De Cuyper (12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bailey (3'), Mechele (82' og.), Asensio (88' pen.)
Emery (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 1-1 Brugge
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 55.64%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Club BruggeDrawAston Villa
55.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 22.08% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.83%63.16% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.61% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (0.0059999999999967 0.01)68.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 55.64%
    Aston Villa 22.27%
    Draw 22.08%
Club BruggeDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.85%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.64%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 4.64%
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 22.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Brugge
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Standard Liege
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-3 Brugge
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 2-2 Brugge
Saturday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 2-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, February 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brugge 1-0 Leuven
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-1 Aston Villa
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, February 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, February 9 at 5.35pm in FA Cup


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