SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Wolfsburg |
45.99% ( 0.29) | 24.77% ( 0.02) | 29.23% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.96% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.27) | 46.87% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( -0.25) | 69.13% ( 0.25) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.02) | 20.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.1% ( 0.03) | 52.9% ( -0.03) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( -0.36) | 29.65% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.3% ( -0.44) | 65.7% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 45.99% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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