Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 63.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a FC Koln win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
