SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 22.28% | 21.12% ( -0) | 56.6% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.03) | 36.23% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.65% ( 0.03) | 58.35% ( -0.03) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.02) | 29.35% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.68% ( 0.02) | 65.32% ( -0.02) |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( 0.01) | 12.75% ( -0.01) |
