SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
54.54% ( -0.01) | 22.51% ( -0.13) | 22.95% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.05% ( 0.73) | 41.95% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.64% ( 0.73) | 64.35% ( -0.73) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( 0.25) | 15.32% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.93% ( 0.47) | 44.06% ( -0.47) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.53) | 31.96% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.58% ( 0.6) | 68.41% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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