SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
47.73% ( -0.29) | 23.48% ( 0.18) | 28.79% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( -0.75) | 41.27% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( -0.77) | 63.67% ( 0.77) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.48% ( -0.4) | 17.52% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.96% ( -0.7) | 48.03% ( 0.7) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -0.3) | 27.11% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.5% ( -0.4) | 62.5% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.88% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.47% | 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 28.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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