Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
