Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 38.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.9%) and 1-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
