SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
44.34% ( 0.04) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( 0.08) | 47% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( 0.07) | 69.25% ( -0.08) |
| Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.05) | 21.23% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.87% ( 0.08) | 54.13% ( -0.09) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.02) | 28.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.45% ( 0.03) | 64.54% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.34% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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