SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Bayer Leverkusen | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | VfL Bochum | 6 | -14 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 5 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
24.44% ( -0.05) | 22.95% ( -0) | 52.6% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.6% ( -0.03) | 42.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.2% ( -0.03) | 64.8% ( 0.03) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.06) | 30.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.07) | 67.24% ( 0.07) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( 0.01) | 16.14% ( -0.01) |
