SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Nice |
32.02% ( 0.07) | 25.27% ( -0.09) | 42.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( 0.41) | 47.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( 0.38) | 69.98% ( -0.37) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.25) | 28.23% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.07% ( 0.31) | 63.93% ( -0.31) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.19) | 22.32% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.21% ( 0.28) | 55.79% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.02% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 42.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 69 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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